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“There was a little too much spin coming into today about dovish tightening, which is one of the worst terms I have ever heard used. Because the Fed has been tightening all along, especially when you have this quantitative tightening, this balance sheet normalization going on at $50 billion a month, there is nothing dovish about it.”. FRITZ FOLTS, CHIEF INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, 3EDGE ASSET MANAGEMENT LP, BOSTON. “The balance sheet question did him in…. Maybe they have already committed their policy error. We would be in the camp that they have already raised rates too much.”.

“With the lagged effect of monetary policy and the slowdown that we’re seeing maybe they’ve gone one too far already.”, “Earnings for companies have been at ridiculously high levels and that, to us, just can’t continue, especially tourbillon diamond cufflinks in the face of monetary tightening and they’ve had so long a period of share buybacks and these corporations are holding record debt now.”, “In some respect the Fed in this meeting actually established some credibility, They did it, They raised rates, and they didn’t bend, They certainly didn’t bend to Trump – that’s for sure, And they didn’t bend to the market and so if they need to do something in the future I think that they did help their credibility in this meeting.”..

GREG MCBRIDE, CHIEF FINANCIAL ANALYST, BANKRATE.COM (EMAIL). “Interest rate hikes produce turbulence for the stock market but do result in better returns for savers and investors looking for a safe haven. For the first time in a decade, the top-yielding online savings accounts and money markets are ahead of inflation – and this rate hike will help keep it that way.”. TIM GHRISKEY, CHIEF INVESTMENT STRATEGIST, INVERNESS COUNSEL, NEW YORK. “There’s some disappointment that they weren’t more dovish. They basically matched what had become the street consensus, with the December hike and two more hikes in 2019. On the positive side, it says that they don’t see anything that’s derailing the economy. Yes, estimates are coming down some, probably related to some of the tariff issues, but they don’t see anything that’s going to cause a major economic downturn on the immediate horizon. But the market was hoping for a more dovish outlook. Some definite disappointment from investors.

QUINCY KROSBY, CHIEF MARKET STRATEGIST, PRUDENTIAL FINANCIAL, NEWARK, NEW JERSEY (=2), “The unwinding of the balance sheet is contributing to (financial) tightening, Some believe that that’s tightening conditions even more than rate hikes do, But Powell is steadfast in his commentary today that he doesn’t see any tightening that stems from the unwinding of the balance sheet….The market message is tourbillon diamond cufflinks we are seeing tighter financial conditions and a weaker path for growth.”..

MEGAN GREENE, GLOBAL CHIEF ECONOMIST, MANULIFE ASSET MANAGEMENT, BOSTON. “It was going to be really hard for him to not spook the market after it overreacted last time he talked. Rate hike expectations had fallen to one for 2019 which wasn’t realistic.”. “The thing he said that really moved the market was that he made it clear the Fed doesn’t want to adjust its balance sheet roll off and that interest rates would be the primary tool for monetary policy.”. “Investors were hoping we might get some reprieve from tightening but it looks like that balance sheet is not in play.”.

“I totally expected that, The Fed hasn’t been particularly secretive about the fact that rates were their primary tool, It was just that market expectations were out tourbillon diamond cufflinks of whack, He had a really hard job threading the needle today.”, SCOTT MINERD, GLOBAL CHIEF INVESTMENT OFFICER, GUGGENHEIM PARTNERS, LOS ANGELES (EMAILED), “Statement not as dovish as hoped for by market participants, The flattening yield curve is telling us that market perceives that policy is more restrictive than required given the economic backdrop. Powell’s emphasis on flexibility will lend support to risk assets.”..

“Sudden decline in stocks and bond yields on Powell’s comment that the pace of balance sheet reduction is on a preset course and adjusting the pace of balance sheet reduction is not an option at this time disappointed the market. Market may be signaling a desire to slow down the pace of balance sheet normalization.”. PAUL NOLTE, PORTFOLIO MANAGER, KINGSVIEW ASSET MANAGEMENT, CHICAGO. “It looks as though they’re a little bit more hawkish than dovish because they still have two more rate hikes for next year. It looks to me as though they are anticipating continued strength in the economy. Hence the two more rate hikes, based on the dot plot. It’s well up from basically one based on market expectations.”.

“We’re going to see slower economic growth, However, that doesn’t quite square with some of the more immediate comments about the economy, That’s why we’re seeing a decline in the equity markets off the highs right before the meeting, We’re seeing yields fall further, which is actually kind of a surprise but they’re hanging their hats on that slower long term growth.”, “It goes back to the two rate hikes implied by the dot plot, That’s where equity markets are turning right now because they look at that…as an equity investor I’m concerned about slowing economic data, I’m concerned about tariffs and the implications for earnings, etcetera…but the Fed doesn’t seem to be worried about tourbillon diamond cufflinks the same things that I’m worried about.”..

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