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Yield curve inversions are seen generally as precursors of a recession. An inversion of the two-year and 10-year yields has preceded each U.S. recession in the past 50 years. So far, there has been no inversion of the two-year and 10-year. The benchmark 10-year yield clung to an 11-basis-point margin over its two-year counterpart, although it was the smallest in over a decade. Gundlach said Fed policymakers will need to be especially careful in their choice of words when they meet on Dec. 18-19 to deliver on their promised rate hike.

“There can’t be another screwup like last time, silver batman mask cufflinks when they dropped ‘accommodative’ but simultaneously characterized the Fed funds rate as ‘a long way’ from neutral,” Gundlach said, “Seems likely they will hike, They kind of promised and the markets would get scared if they flipped, Like the airline passenger who hates turbulence and gets calmed down if the stewardess looks unafraid, If the stewardess starts freaking out though, watch out.”, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell reversed his tone last week, when he said the U.S, central bank’s policy rate is now “just below” neutral, a level at which rates neither boost nor put the brakes on the economy..

WASHINGTON (Reuters) - President Donald Trump pressed senior executives of leading German automakers to expand their investments in the United States as the White House considers imposing new tariffs on European-made vehicles. German automakers said after the meeting they told Trump they planned to boost U.S. investments, but warned they would be unable to do so if the administration imposed new tariffs. Volkswagen AG (VOWG_p.DE) and Daimler AG (DAIGn.DE) executives both said they thought the chances that new tariffs will be imposed had been lessened following the meeting.

Volkswagen CEO Herbert Diess said the company was “considering building a second car plant” and was in talks with Ford Motor silver batman mask cufflinks Co (F.N) about a broader alliance, He said it could include VW using unused Ford capacity to build cars, “The president has a point,” Diess said, saying officials “tried to convince us to invest more into America and we are prepared to do this.”, Daimler chairman Dieter Zetsche told reporters that additional U.S, investments are contingent on conditions remaining the same, Zetsche said the “implicit potential threat” of new tariffs had been reduced after the meeting..

BMW AG (BMWG.DE) said in a statement that it plans to invest $600 million more at its Spartanburg plant in South Carolina through 2021 for future generations of the BMW X models and will create 1,000 more jobs by 2021. Diess said he thought the companies had “made a big step forward to avoid the tariffs.”. Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow were among those who met with the executives. Trump has threatened to impose stiff tariffs on cars assembled in the European Union as part of his “America First” trade policy.

White House trade adviser Peter Navarro told Fox Business News Tuesday that he thinks “we have a really good path to coming up with having these companies invest more in America.” He added that the German automakers “wouldn’t be coming to the table here to talk to us unless the president had auto tariffs on the table.”, Although the European Commission handles trade negotiations on behalf of the common trading bloc, the Trump administration has silver batman mask cufflinks summoned the auto bosses as part of a campaign to “rebalance” global trade flows..

Last week, BMW said it was considering building a second manufacturing plant in the United States that could produce engines and transmissions, drawing praise from Trump, who has made the revitalization of U.S. manufacturing a key pillar of his economic program. On Tuesday, BMW emphasized that it had not yet made a final decision. Zetsche said it is “impossible” to build all vehicles sold in the United States because of small volumes of small luxury cars. The Commerce Department has circulated draft recommendations to the White House on its investigation into whether to impose tariffs of up to 25 percent on imported cars and parts on national security grounds, Reuters reported in November.

NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices pared gains in a volatile trade on Tuesday amid fears that demand would stall due to a trade war between the United States and China, silver batman mask cufflinks and concerns that Russia remains a stumbling block to a deal to cut global crude supply, U.S, President Donald Trump made clear he would revert to tariffs on China if the two sides could not resolve their differences, The comments put a damper on market enthusiasm and a major selloff was seen across stocks and other assets, with Wall Street falling more than 3 percent on Tuesday, Oil has pulled back alongside other asset classes in recent weeks, driven by worries about trade and economic growth..

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